Saturday, May 4, 2019
Review of A Journal Article on Population and Economics Term Paper
Review of A Journal Article on Population and Economics - boundary Paper ExampleMoreover, health of aging universe of discourse is also improving significantly and a Brobdingnagian proportion of old-age population result live without any health complications. Productivity in any province will ingest bearings due to age-related changes in working populations. It is pertinent to note that population of age 60 and above was 200 million in 1950 but today, it has increased to 760 million and estimated to be around 2 billion in 2050. Similarly, the numbers of people of age 80 and above were 14 million in 1950 that has raised to 11 million today and are likely to reach, based on the current projections, virtually 400 million by 2050. This is critical since these patterns of aging population were never seen in the past. Authors cast off attempt to examine the effects of aging population on world delivery as a whole. Authors have drawn data from the United Nations and have projecte d age-wise population between 2005 and 2050. The projections are based on the medium- stinkiness dictate. If the fertility rates are lower than this than the aging population will increase further. The fertility rate estimation between 2005 and 2050 is a matter of uncertainty and will lead to different results pertaining to elderly proportion. withal changes in mortality rate will influence the proportion of aging population significantly. Different continents will have varying estimation of ageing population. Africa will have a least proportion of the people with age 60 and higher while Europe is projected to have the highest proportion of aging population amongst all continents to the tune of almost 34 percent followed by North America at 28 percent. Declining fertility rates, increasing life forecast at birth and declining mortality rates in boor are the factors behind increased proportion of aging population across most part of the world. numeric Methods Employed The autho rs have employed quantitative empirical methods to study the effect of ageing population on the world economy. They have done population analysis by age group based on historical data from 1950 to 2005 and then projections made about age-group distribution for years beyond 2005 until 2050. With different fertility assumptions, an attempt has been made to estimate proportion of aging population beyond 2005 until 2050. It is believed that the issue will have its social as well as political fallouts too. For example, an aging population will need concur in terms of healthcare services and income security for them. In developing countries, this, traditionally, has been taken care by families but as more and more women enter workforce, this is likely to change. Formation of nuclear families, migration towards urban centers and children go forth away from their parents will become a norm even in most of the developing countries posing new challenges for security of the elderly populatio n. Most developed countries have social security plans in correct to provide healthcare and income security however, as the elderly population goes up, it is likely to be a scare off task for most governments. In short, aging population may cause serious consequences on the economy of the nation. Behavioural Changes Authors emphasise that demeanour changes play a pivotal role in meeting the shortfall in labour supply and they can be described as per the following. Rising life expectancy is responded by the society by increasing the number of working years keeping the saving behaviour unchanged. Even if the people do not work for extra years, it is certain that increased life
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